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Market stress signals are flashing bright

Updated at : 2025-04-08 15:25:02

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Global equity markets experienced a significant downturn due to tariff concerns, triggering stress across financial markets. Investor risk aversion is nearing levels seen during the 2022 interest rate hikes, with the VIX volatility index surging. Increased dollar demand, widening junk bond spreads, and declining bank stocks further indicate market turmoil, reflecting growing pressure in the U.S. bond market.

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Investors are assessing President Trump s tolerance for market losses after his tariff policies triggered a significant Wall Street decline. The hope for a "Trump put" to protect equities is fading, as Trump seems willing to endure market drops. The market selloff has sparked speculation about his intentions and the Federal Reserve s response, creating uncertainty about potential interventions.

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Indian stock markets experienced a significant downturn on Monday, with the Sensex plummeting 2,226.79 points due to global market turmoil triggered by US-China trade tensions. Viral Chheda of SSJ Finance and Securities advises investors on Trent, Hindalco, and Siemens, suggesting a cautious approach amid bearish trends and potential buying opportunities at lower levels for long-term gains.

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Spinaroo Commercial s Rs 11 crore SME IPO received a marginal response, with shares listing on the BSE SME platform at a GMP of 0% over the issue price of Rs 51. The IPO proceeds will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes.

Infonative Solutions will list shares on the Bombay Stock Exchange SME platform today. The IPO saw decent subscription. Funds will support product development and acquisitions. Starting in 2014, the company expanded rapidly. A key investment in Mindscroll enhanced e-learning solutions. The company offers tailored solutions and content creation. Services cater to diverse sectors across India, the US, and Malaysia.

Bharat Electronics (BEL) shares are in focus following a Rs 2,210 crore order from the Defence Ministry for Electronic Warfare suites for the Indian Air Force s Mi-17V5 helicopters. This order boosts BEL s FY25 intake to Rs 2,803 crore and strengthens defence indigenisation.

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The 200 DMA is used as a key indicator by traders for determining the overall trend in a particular stock.

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Following a steep selloff triggered by tariff escalations, China s stock market rebounded as state-linked funds intervened to stabilize prices. The central bank pledged financial support to sovereign wealth funds for stock purchases. This proactive approach contrasts with the US response, highlighting Beijing s commitment to managing market volatility amid trade tensions.

Devina Mehra, Founder & CMD of First Global, predicts the possible end of the US market s 12-year outperformance, accelerated by Trump s policies. Despite potential downturns, investing remains crucial as missing top trading days can significantly impact long-term returns. India s market is portrayed as less risky, and maintaining a diversified global portfolio is recommended for investors.

Fixed-income investors are keenly awaiting the RBI s MPC meeting, anticipating a rate cut and a shift to an accommodative stance. Bond yields have declined due to global risk-off sentiment and the RBI s liquidity management. PGIM India MF suggests investors allocate to short-term and corporate bond funds, expecting the 10-year bond yield to trade between 6.25% and 6.50%.

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