The 10-year US Treasury yield has risen above 4.9% and is marching towards the crucial 5% level that it had last hit briefly in 2023. Yes Securities issued a contrarian bet, saying the rise in global yields increasingly reflects stronger nominal growth, a structurally higher equilibrium real rate and synchronised global monetary normalisation, rather than deteriorating economic fundamentals or an imminent fiscal crisis.
For decades, the US dollar has dominated global trade and commodity markets. Most commodities, including crude oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products, are priced and traded in dollars.
NSE MD and CEO Ashish Chauhan said the exchange had invited shareholders to tender shares before filing the draft red herring prospectus. He said bankers advised the exchange on pricing, while the IPO size was based on the shares tendered by shareholders on the day of the updated draft red herring prospectus.
In August, consumer prices surged, strengthening the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate hikes. The core inflation saw its most substantial rise in four months, pointing to ongoing price pressures across the economy. Rising energy costs have affected multiple sectors, with consumers bracing for higher inflation expectations that may dampen economic sentiment. The Federal Reserve now faces increased pressure to manage rising costs and ensure price stability.
AI is the clearest example. It raises the prospect of a permanent growth breakout, accelerating innovation itself and compressing decade long timelines into a few years
NSE will be the biggest issue of the week, with an IPO size of Rs 22,562 crore. Hero Motors will follow with a Rs 1,000 crore issue. The two IPOs will dominate investor attention, while the remaining mainboard and SME issues will compete for retail and HNI money during the same period.
In its red herring prospectus (RHP), NSE has highlighted its market leadership, scale, profitability, technology infrastructure and cash generation as key strengths. The exchange, however, has also flagged several risks, including dependence on trading volumes, regulatory changes and increased scrutiny.
With a stock price target price of Rs 1,250, the brokerage forecasts an upside of 17%. The lender will transition from a small-finance bank to a Universal bank that can lower funding cost, lift fees and strengthen brand to aid growth. Over FY26-29, strong deposit growth will aid credit growth of 22% CAGR and 29% in PPP (ex-treasury), highest in its coverage.
The Indian rupee fell by eleven paise on Friday, closing at 95.55 against the dollar as benchmark crude oil prices rose to $105 per barrel, fueling global uncertainties. The rupee faced mounting pressure from external factors during the week, with a notable demand for dollars from oil companies and dollar sales from state-run banks. It appears that the Reserve Bank of India stepped in to mitigate further currency depreciation.
Global investors are reducing Indian equity exposure due to a lack of AI investment themes. Foreign portfolio ownership has fallen to a seventeen-year low as funds exit the market. India now ranks as the least-favored market in Asia according to a recent survey. Local institutions are providing support, but foreign capital remains a concern. Investors seek more durable foreign direct investments to fuel manufacturing ambitions.
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