China’s mainland stocks gained on Friday, but major benchmarks remained on track for weekly losses as fading momentum in AI shares and elevated US Treasury yields weighed on sentiment. The CSI300 and Shanghai Composite rose 0.4%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng advanced 2.1%, led by a rebound in technology stocks.
India’s festive season is expected to drive a strong consumption boost, with analysts identifying sectors and stocks that could benefit. The period from Ganesh Chaturthi through Navratri, Dussehra, Dhanteras, Diwali and the wedding season typically brings higher footfalls, orders, ticket sizes and margins.
Nomura warned that the AI boom may be masking growing US risks, as heavy global exposure to dollar assets leaves markets vulnerable to an AI-driven shock. The brokerage said a setback in AI could trigger a sharp correction in US equities, weaken the dollar and potentially turn into a broader global risk-off event.
Expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its September 16 meeting have weakened sharply, with traders now pricing in less than a 50% chance of a reduction, according to CME FedWatch data. Comments from Fed officials, including Christopher Waller and Kevin Warsh, have reinforced uncertainty over the policy path, while elevated global bond yields and inflation concerns continue to weigh on markets.
Shares of Polycab and KEI Industries fell sharply after UltraTech Cement launched its ₹1,800 crore wires and cables business, Ultravolt. Brokerages warned that the Aditya Birla Group’s aggressive entry could trigger near-term de-rating across the cables and wires sector, although Nuvama retained Polycab and KEI as its top picks.
Four U.S. companies have committed $2 billion in South Korea across semiconductors, advanced materials and renewable energy. Investments include semiconductor gases, chip equipment, advanced glass and a 3.2-GW offshore wind project. The commitments strengthen South Korea’s efforts to attract foreign investment and deepen economic cooperation with the United States.
Sebi plans to review the methodology for setting derivative settlement prices on expiry after market participants raised concerns over the new Closing Auction Session (CAS). The regulator will issue a consultation paper next week.
Ceigall India shares rose nearly 4% after the company received a Letter of Intent from REC Power Development and Consultancy for a Rs 5,300 crore power transmission project in Gujarat. The project includes a 765/400 kV AIS substation and around 300 km of transmission lines, with 36 months of execution followed by a 35-year operational period and annual transmission charges of Rs 608.67 crore.
US Treasury yields are rising partly on expectations that R-star, the economy’s neutral interest rate, may be structurally higher. Heavy government borrowing and AI investment are boosting capital demand, potentially keeping rates elevated longer. A higher R-star could limit Federal Reserve rate cuts, pressure Treasury prices and increase borrowing costs across the economy.
IEX shares rose on Friday after the exchange reported record monthly electricity trading volume of 13,938 MUs in August, up 20.2% year-on-year. Higher power demand lifted Day-Ahead Market buy bids, while prices also increased. However, REC volumes fell sharply amid lower participation, declining 86.6% year-on-year during the month.
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