Investor demand for US equities weakened, with fund inflows falling to a six-week low of $911 million. Rising oil prices and uncertainty around interest rates, especially ahead of the Federal Reserve policy decision, dampened risk appetite and made investors more cautious.
IPO investors are bracing for a significant wave of lock-in expiries between May and August, with shares of 83 newly-listed companies valued at $55 billion becoming eligible for trade. This period will see major companies like Lenskart, Groww, and Pine Labs experience their lock-in periods ending, potentially impacting market dynamics.
Crude oil prices surged above $115 a barrel as the US and Iran exchanged fire, disrupting a ceasefire and raising concerns about escalating Middle East tensions. This renewed conflict threatens to inject volatility into markets, impacting energy prices, industrial activity, and geopolitical risk premia.
Markets closed with decent gains on Monday amidst volatile trading and mixed cues. Key sectors like banking and IT faced pressure, with crude oil prices remaining elevated, suggesting continued index consolidation. Tata Technologies reported a significant net loss for the March quarter, while L&T, M&M, and others are set to announce their Q4 results today.
Oil prices saw a dip on Tuesday. This followed a significant rise after the U.S. Navy began operations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. A U.S.-flagged vessel successfully exited the Gulf. This eased immediate supply disruption fears. However, Iran launched attacks in the Gulf. Several commercial vessels were struck. A key oil port in the UAE was set ablaze.
New York Fed President John Williams believes monetary policy is ready for Middle East war uncertainty. He anticipates interest rate cuts once inflation eases. Economic growth is expected to remain resilient. Inflation challenges persist due to tariffs and energy costs. Williams noted potential for more severe supply shocks. The Fed remains in a wait-and-see mode regarding policy adjustments.
Wall Street indices retreated from record highs as an explosion on a South Korean ship in the Strait of Hormuz and renewed Middle East tensions overshadowed strong first-quarter earnings reports. Energy stocks saw gains amid the confrontations, while concerns about geopolitical risks weighed on market optimism.
Institutional investors injected over Rs 7,400 crore into Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) on Monday through significant block deals. Capital Group entities were major buyers, acquiring stakes from Worldwide Emerging Market Holding Limited. Smaller block deals also occurred in Tata Motors and Siemens Energy India.
Nifty ended higher amid positive election sentiment but faced resistance near 24,200. Analysts see support at 24,000, maintaining a bullish bias above key levels. Experts recommend selective trades, suggesting buying stocks like Adani Ports and Laurus Labs, while cautioning on CDSL weakness.
Tata Chemicals reported a sharp Q4FY26 net loss due to significant impairment charges and weak global pricing. Revenue declined marginally, margins turned negative, and cash flows weakened, though core operations showed improvement before exceptional items amid challenging market conditions.
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