Bitcoin held near the $67,000 level amid persistent geopolitical tensions and macro uncertainty, while mixed price action reflected cautious sentiment. Altcoins largely declined, and overall market capitalisation edged lower. Despite some recovery attempts, volatility remains elevated as investors assess inflation risks, liquidity conditions, and global policy signals.
US stock futures surged after reports suggested Donald Trump may seek to end the Iran conflict, easing investor concerns over prolonged geopolitical tensions. Gains in Dow, Nasdaq and S&P futures come amid stable oil prices and falling bond yields, although uncertainty remains due to ongoing risks in the Strait of Hormuz.
India’s IPO market in FY26 has seen a sharp downturn, with nearly two-thirds of listings trading below issue price. Weak market conditions, stretched valuations and cautious investor sentiment have weighed on performance, marking a reversal from earlier gains. Analysts view this as a cyclical correction, with recovery dependent on broader market stability.
Market expert Sudip Bandyopadhyay urges caution for retail investors. He advises against rushing into the market or investing all cash at once. Value buying should be done in small parts. He highlights aluminium as a strong trade and suggests picking only the biggest bank names very slowly. Defence sector shows promise but valuations are stretched.
Gold and silver prices rebounded in global markets after a sharp March sell-off, supported by a weaker dollar and easing bond yields. However, sentiment remains cautious as inflation risks, elevated energy prices, and fading expectations of US rate cuts continue to weigh on outlook and keep volatility elevated.
Multi-asset allocation funds are gaining prominence in Indian mutual fund portfolios, attracting significant inflows and growing assets. These funds offer a diversified approach by investing in equity, debt, and commodities, providing resilience across market cycles. Investors are increasingly recognizing their value as a strategic core holding for long-term wealth creation.
Indian stock markets are closed today for Shri Mahavir Jayanti. This is the first of two market holidays this week. Trading will resume on Friday for Good Friday and again on April 14 for Dr. Baba Saheb Ambedkar Jayanti. Several other holidays are scheduled throughout the year. MCX will have a trading break in the first session.
New RBI curbs on net open rupee positions created volatility in dollar-rupee forwards. Initially, the gap between domestic and overseas rates widened significantly as banks anticipated selling dollars locally. However, this difference narrowed as banks adopted a wait-and-watch approach, expecting potential RBI relief, leading to a near-Friday closing level.
Bank fixed deposit growth slowed to a two-year low in the December quarter. Private banks led deposit collection. This slowdown may increase funding costs for lenders. However, current and savings account deposits saw improved growth. Experts predict a shift back to fixed deposits due to geopolitical events.
The Reserve Bank of India has postponed new acquisition finance rules. The implementation is now set for July 1, 2026. This decision follows feedback from stakeholders. The central bank also updated its capital market exposures framework. These changes aim to clarify lending for mergers and acquisitions. The RBI is refining guidelines for domestic lenders.
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