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A rare financial event occurred on April 11th as the U.S. and India 10-year government bond yield spread dipped below 2% for the first time. This compression, driven by factors like U.S. fiscal deficits and tariff war fears, grants the Reserve Bank of India greater independence in monetary policy.

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Japan, China, South Korea and ASEAN plan to broaden their currency swap programme. The expansion aims to include infectious disease outbreaks and natural disasters. The Chiang Mai Initiative, a $240 billion pool, supports regional financial stability. Members will likely agree on the expansion in Milan. The change is expected to take effect in May.

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Technology giant Microsoft posted robust quarterly results on Wednesday, with revenue rising 13 percent to $70.1 billion, powered by a strong performance in its cloud computing and artificial intelligence businesses. The company s Intelligent Cloud segment, a key part of Microsoft s business, showed particularly strong growth with revenue of $26.8 billion, up 21 percent.

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Nikkei inched up as investors awaited Bank of Japan s rate decision. Focus is on U.S. trade talks. Advantest surged, buoyed by U.S. tech gains. Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates steady. Investors are keen on Governor Ueda s comments on U.S. trade policy impact. Economy Minister Akazawa is set for trade talks. Murata Manufacturing declined after disappointing results.

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Markets typically distinguish between political headlines and actual war risks. Unless there is a full-blown conflict—which is very rare—investors eventually shift their focus back to earnings, economic growth, and liquidity.

BOJ keeps rates steady, cuts growth forecasts

Updated at : 2025-05-01 20:45:01

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The Bank of Japan maintained its interest rates at 0.5% but lowered economic growth predictions due to uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariffs. While core consumer inflation forecasts were also reduced, the BOJ anticipates inflation to remain around 2% through fiscal year 2028, suggesting potential rate hikes will continue. Markets are closely monitoring how U.S. tariffs will affect the BOJ s rate-hike strategy.

Morgan Stanley economist Chetan Ahya predicts trade tensions will hurt global investment. Asia s GDP growth may fall from 4.8% to 3.6% by late 2025. The US may reduce tariffs, but uncertainty will remain. Tariffs on autos and semiconductors will affect Korea, Taiwan, and Japan. Pharma tariffs may impact India, China, and Japan.

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