The Sensex and Nifty have fallen for eight straight weeks, wiping out more than Rs 26 lakh crore in market capitalisation. While elevated oil prices have pressured equities, soaring bond yields, foreign outflows, a stronger dollar and tighter liquidity are adding to the selling pressure and weighing on investor sentiment.
Hospital stocks extended losses amid regulatory scrutiny over cancer-drug markups and pharmacy practices. Despite the selloff, Jefferies maintained Buy ratings on six healthcare companies, citing target-price upside ranging from 22% to 46% and strong projected EBITDA growth through FY29.
Nifty valuations have reset sharply from 2024 levels and are now near post-Covid lows, says Alchemy Capital’s Alok Agarwal. He sees the next phase of market growth broadening beyond large caps. Mid- and small-caps, AI infrastructure, healthcare, manufacturing and select defence companies offer opportunities, while global yields and FPI flows remain key.
Gold prices fell 0.6% to $4,154.78 an ounce, heading for a second weekly decline as a stronger US dollar and elevated Treasury yields pressured bullion. Traders await US jobs data for Fed-rate clues. With MCX closed for Gandhi Jayanti, international markets, Middle East tensions and weekend developments could drive Monday’s domestic opening.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has surged past its 2007 high, now sitting at 5.34%. At the same time, 30-year US bonds have hit a 24-year peak this week. The rise in global sovereign debt is primarily driven by escalating oil prices amid the ongoing Middle Eastern conflict. Investors are now bracing for potentially further interest rate hikes from central banks.
As inflation fears and mounting debt pressure rise, government borrowing costs have soared to unprecedented levels. The US Treasury yield, now the highest since 2002, signifies a shift in global market dynamics. These increasing bond yields adversely affect loans for families and businesses, posing challenges for governmental finances. Intervention by central banks could be on the horizon to maintain fiscal order, especially with future artificial intelligence-related bond issues looming.
Global bond market volatility led to declines in stock indexes, with the S&P 500 on track for consistent losses. Oil prices rose, contributing to persistent inflation, while economic reports indicated US resilience despite challenges. The 10-year Treasury yield hovered near a 2002 high, raising concerns for real-estate stocks. Technology stocks demonstrated some strength, aided by Micron Technology’s better-than-expected quarterly profit.
Wall Street encountered a downturn as escalating Treasury yields affected investor confidence in high-priced stocks. Despite solid performance from the software sector buoyed by favorable earnings, the shadow of rising interest rates looms large. September saw the S&P 500 and Dow post monthly losses, while the Nasdaq thrived on AI optimism.
Adani Group has projects worth Rs 2.6 lakh crore completed or underway in Maharashtra, with its overall investment blueprint exceeding Rs 6 lakh crore. Investments span energy, aviation, data centres, urban redevelopment and transmission, alongside major Mumbai infrastructure projects.
The pound has hit a three-month low against the dollar, triggered by mounting economic apprehensions. Investors are anxious about the effects of soaring oil prices and persistent inflation on market stability. The FTSE 100 index has notably declined, reflecting burdens in government borrowing. Prime Minister Andy Burnham and Chancellor John Healey confront escalating gilt yields.
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